Confluences
Major Assets Confluences
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Major Assets Confluences
Stronger reads come from pairing relative performance with macro/market structure.
Trend filters: Long MAs or market breadth to confirm leadership persistence.
Volatility: VIX/term structureβleadership under falling vol tends to persist.
Credit & Rates: HYG vs. TLT vs. SPY triangles often clarify risk regimes.
Seasonality/Flows: Month-/Quarter-turn effects can amplify base-relative shifts.
Liquidity: Rising M2 alongside equity leadership strengthens risk-on narratives.
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