Framework

AMD Model Framework

The AMD Model is built on a simple yet profound understanding of how institutions move price. It posits that every major move consists of three distinct phases: Accumulation, Manipulation, and Distribution.

Here is how the framework breaks down:

1. Accumulation (The Setup)

• What it is: Institutions quietly build their positions.

• What it looks like: Price often moves sideways in a range. Volatility is low.

• The Goal: To accumulate orders without alerting the rest of the market.

• The Tool: Highlights this phase in a Blue Box.

2. Manipulation (The Trap)

• What it is: A sudden, sharp move against the intended direction.

• What it looks like: Price breaks out of the accumulation range, often taking out previous highs or lows (Liquidity Sweeps).

• The Goal: To trigger stop-losses (creating liquidity) and trap breakout traders on the wrong side. This is often called the "Judas Swing."

• The Tool: Highlights this phase in a Red Box. It also marks the liquidity sweep with a specific line.

3. Distribution (The Move)

• What it is: The true trend unfolds.

• What it looks like: Price reverses from the manipulation and expands rapidly in the opposite direction.

• The Goal: To distribute the accumulated positions at a profit.

• The Tool: Highlights this phase in a Green Box.

• Confirmation: The transition from Manipulation to Distribution is confirmed by a CISD (Change in State of Delivery)—a break of structure that signals the trap is complete.

By enabling the Early Models, you can visualize potential setups before price flips the weekly Open level. However, this option may generate premature or invalid signals, so it should be used cautiously and always combined with additional confluence.

The Power of Context

By projecting this framework from a Higher Timeframe (HTF) onto your Lower Timeframe (LTF), you can see the "story" of the candle as it forms. Instead of getting caught in the noise of a 1-minute chart, you see that the sudden drop might just be the "Manipulation" phase of the 4-hour candle, preparing for a massive rally.