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Swing Failure Pattern

The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) is one of the most reliable reversal setups used by institutional traders. It identifies a "Stop Hunt" or "Liquidity Grab" where large players push price beyond a key level to trigger orders, only to reverse direction immediately.

This pattern tells you: "The breakout was a trap."

Anatomy of an SFP

  1. The Target: Identify a key Swing High or Swing Low. This is where retail stop-losses and breakout orders are resting.

  2. The Sweep: Price pushes beyond this swing point, grabbing the liquidity.

  3. The Failure: Crucially, the candle fails to close beyond the level. It leaves a long wick and closes back inside the previous range.

Types of SFP

Bearish SFP (Short Setup)

  • Context: Occurs at a Swing High.

  • Action: Price sweeps the high, taking out buy-side liquidity (stops of short sellers + breakout buyers).

  • Signal: The candle closes below the previous swing high.

  • Implication: Rejection of higher prices. Institutional selling has absorbed the buying pressure.

Bullish SFP (Long Setup)

  • Context: Occurs at a Swing Low.

  • Action: Price sweeps the low, taking out sell-side liquidity (stops of long buyers + breakdown sellers).

  • Signal: The candle closes above the previous swing low.

  • Implication: Rejection of lower prices. Institutional buying has absorbed the selling pressure.

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